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Daily First Look
Daily briefThomas Liardon

Crude Edges Lower Despite Renewed Conflict; Gas Prompt Inches Lower on Contract Roll

Crude edges lower despite renewed US-Iran exchanges

  • The WTI prompt-month contract fell $0.59 to $83.87/Bbl Thursday morning (7:45 AM CT)
  • US Central Command said it struck Iranian military targets in an effort to weaken Tehran’s ability to threaten US forces, regional allies and commercial shipping in the Gulf
    • Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps retaliated by targeting air bases in Jordan and Kuwait
  • Separately, two LNG vessels at an Egyptian port were struck in a drone attack Wednesday, though no group has claimed responsibility
  • Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz has increased in recent days, with Bloomberg reporting that 14 vessels crossed the waterway Wednesday
    • “We are using the United States military to escort out oil and gas out of the Strait of Hormuz,” Energy Secretary Chris Wright said
  • Meanwhile, tankers were observed entering the Gulf of Aden and signaling plans to call at Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu port despite the heightened threat from Yemen’s Houthis
  • Domestically, US commercial crude inventories fell 7.2 MMBbls last week to 404.5 MMBbls, according to the EIA, marking their lowest level since 2018

Gas prompt inches lower on contract roll

  • Natural gas is down -3.1c to $2.691/MMBtu (As of 07:30 AM CDT)
  • Weather forecasts held mostly flat, with significant cooling in the Midwest offset by small gains in other regions
  • Gas production has been consistently trending in the 108-110 Bcf/d range this injection season, currently sitting near the top of this range

Corpus Christi LNG receives authorization to flow feedgas to Midscale Train 7 (NGI)

  • The train will add roughly 186 MMcf/d of feedgas demand once fully operational
  • Commissioning began in late June, and nominations to Corpus Christi are up roughly 100 MMcf/d this week

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